Trump has single handedly done what the DNC has tried to do for decades, destroy the GOP. A round of applause for this man.
>blue texas
As a NYer, I thought Id never see that day.
>USER CREATED MAP
Here's your two pennies.
>>709149188
538 is pro at creating these sorts of predictions. Check their history.
>this butthurt over daddy losing
you're better off killing yourself.
People without money so without 4chan chose trump
>>709149113
It's gonna fucking happen. All those "muh family values" Christians are jumping the Trump ship.
>>709148470
>Texas blue?
>>709148470
teas will never be blue, maybe independent, but never blue.
>>709149517
GUYS CHECK OUT MY COMPLETELY ACCURATE 100% UNDENIABLE ELECTION MAP THIS WILL SURELY BE THE END RESULT.
Anyone can make these things faggot. Nate Silver is a fucking hack. Look at NC, where Trump has a commanding lead in absentee ballots already. Even with these bullshit D+11 polls he's ahead in OH, AZ, and FL but this retard has them all going to Clinton.
>>709150267
>PA and FL red?
>>709150198
Because of places like Austin and Houston, Texas will become a blue state. There is almost no chance in hell it goes blue this time around, but in 8 years, it will be a blue state or at least a leaning blue based off the demographics. Which is actually pretty sad republicans are actually this stupid now. Hispanics are covering Texas and they are strong Christian lifestyles and lots of small business owners, literally what they need in their party, but they talk about walls and lost them all so that is why Texas is changing blue as well as New Mexico and Arizona shifting quickly.
>>709150444
The point is that when you see one of these 270 to win maps you can almost always disregard it as straw grasping.
But there's a chance he might get PA. Slim, but present. Democrat policies have fucking ruined the coal industry there, and the only D strongholds are the dindu infested shitholes.
>>709148470
Your map isn't even a good bait shop. Alaska hasn't been blue since 1964 and never will be again. They already have pot and guns, they don't need a democrat
Trump has essentially no chance. Anyone that thinks he will win the election is retarded
>>709148470
Leftist Thinkers are worst thinkers
>>709150706
Britain would like a word with you in regards to your understanding of the phrase no chance.
>>709150444
The only reason PA is dem. is because of all the niggers in Philly. LITERALLY the only reason.
>>709150660
Its not even shopped you dumbfuck. There's a website that lets you pick states to color in red or blue with votes and it does it automatically
>>709150817
Man that tweet is fucking real?
>>709148470
lets look at this map
lets look at this map and laugh
HAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHA
>TX blue
>NE not red
>AZ blue
>NC blue
>FL blue
your two shekels have been deposited in your account, good goy :^)
>>709150886
Calm down there chubster. Don't want mommy taking away your gbp for being an internet bully.
>>709150818
He has a very small chance. So small, that i would bet my entire life and the lives of all of my family and everything that we collectively own that Trump will lose.
>>709148470
sure kid.
>>709150563
That wont happen if Trump wins this November 8 .
Believe me.
>>709149517
sure kid
>>709149736
sure kid
>>709150706
sure kid
>>709148470
am i the only one who wishes an asteroid would hit both of the major party candidates? because please
>>709151101
you got a bet kid
>>709148470
>>709151101
That's a pretty large bet to put in someone who's margin of victory is several million college sjw's that may or may not make it to the polls because they have to get their all natural chai tea filled in their pre 1900s mason jar
>>709150998
Yes
>>709151306
Says the edgelord. No one supports trump who's not either an edgy faggot or a hick.
>>709150563
Yeah, but the legal immigrants are also pissed about illegals coming here. Those small business owners who worked their asses off don't want those welfare mooches here any more than we do.
>>709151412
sure kid. now go fuck off.
>>709150998
Actually, it is.
>>709151306
You do realize you're wagering your life, your family's and everything you collectively own that Trump will win? He just won't
>>709150854
Bullshit. More GOP facts pulled directly from a morons asshole.
PA population as of the last US census: 12,138,830
Of those:-
White:10,484,203
Black: 1,224,612
With a much smaller number of other ethnics to make up the remainder.
You're a lying dumb cunt who blames everything on everyone else. That's how racism works.
>>709150817
without the founding father foresight, will America be great in the 1st place?
>>709151508
Wooooow
>>709151526
implying it is real
Trump and Supporters: Thank YOU!
1.President Clinton
2.Liberal Scotus (FINALLY!)
3.Gun Control
4.Democratic House
5.Democratic Senate
6.Destroyed careers of Ted Cruz/Paul Ryan, Chris Christie etc.
7.Universal Healthcare
It's the dawn of Democratic Socialism. And we have Trump/supporters to thank! By proxy you red state, white uneducated welfare rats have finally contributed to America.
>>709150644
Democratic policies did nothing to the coal industry. It's the natural gas and fracking industries that killed coal. Are you going to ban natural gas and fracking? Because that's the only way you'll get coal back. And good riddance - coal sucks.
>>709151530
>How does the electoral college work?
Furry faggot leave.
>>709150998
Dude, I wish it wasn't. I saw it and said the same thing.
>>709151802
So it's not all them blacks then, huh? You're either clutching at anything to look intelligent here. Or you was talking bullshit to begin with. Which one is it, retard?
And GFY, and I'm not a furry or a faggot you dumb cumstain.
With our machine, Trump is road kill!
>>709151530
>You're a lying dumb cunt who blames everything on everyone else. That's how racism works.
Nope, not a liar. I literally live in PA everywhere west of philly beside Harrisburg is Trump territory. You wont see a single Hilary sign outside of Philly and thats a fact. Drive through south Philly and then drive through pittsuburgh and tell me I'm wrong. Sorry retard but Philly is Jam packed with nigger shit which is why Philly has the highest crime rate of any city in PA and is also has the highest density of blacks.
>Pro tip, you cant
>>709151753
this tbh, I'm not even meme-ing
>>709151321
that was CTR early, has vastly ballooned, was
$33Miilion spend, now doubling down, shills, shills, everywhere...
>>709151753
"uneducated welfare rats contributed to this"
Wants a welfare nation of democratic socialism.
The liberal brain at work folks! You don't support welfare because youre on welfare! Genius!!!
>>709150818
yeah this isn't brexit. and that was a 2-3 point discrepancy.
moreover, look at the damage brexit's done, and those retards haven't even left the EU yet.
>>709151038
even your fox news polls have Hillary ahead in Florida, NC, AZ, and tied in Texas. Nebraska is in play now too btw.
>>709151753
Sorry you got your ass handed to you by capitalism. Let the market reign free and keep the Constitution as the supreme document in the land. Fucking libtard
lmao these libtard shills are working overtime.
Trump still gets 40,000 ppl to his rallies.
Hillary? SHE DOESN'T EVEN HAVE RALLIES! NO ONE WOULD SHOW UP!
The silent majority is with Trump. Early voting has him ahead in every state.
>>709151753
pretty much this. it will only get worse for republitards as the young tend to vote progressive. They have an aging population that is dying off.
BUT i dont think dems will get the house, maybe they will get the senate. and it will probably shift back during the midterms unless we push hard. and that would require a progressive push, not a centrist push. The republicans have a lot of power from dark money going into these tiny state elections, that actually mean ALOT for how states are run, like education, not a lot can be done about education from a federal level without some big changes.
I hope hope hope for scotus though.hopefully scotus will repeal citizens united decision and start to get money out of politics.
>>709151753
Underrated post
>>709152183
and what damage is that?
>>709151753
Hand over your guns lefty, I won't but when it comes time to cull you morons it will be much easier
>>709148470
If he did, then you wouldn't be posting here.
>>709152369
1. How can anyone call their daughter a "hot piece of ass"?
2. Naturally you're right. Demographically the GOP is done. But they refuse to rebrand. And will continue to lose.
>>709152064
Correct. I moved from a Town two streets outside of Philly. Trump takes PA if it wasn't for the city. A once beautiful city, destroyed by Democrats and Googles
>>709152612
>2016
>knowing that the largest welfare bloc in America are whites in red states
>knowing red states have the highest crime rates
>still blaming blacks.
ok trumptard KEK. btw trump got STEAMROLLED. so did the GOP. I'll be tasting your sweet, sad, angry tears for at least 8 more years.
>>709152038
I'm not even voting for trump, and I think this is despicable.
Might as well pull a Cartman, and sell the early day ballots to the Chinese in order to play the role of Luke Skywalker.
>>709152038
I used to deliver the mail here in Canada and I collected ballots like these from people who were physically unable to make it to the polls. Unless the American system is really fucked up, I have trouble believing they would label the ballots with "republican" and "democrat" at the fucking post office. The ballots are sealed and you can only find out who they voted for if you open them. The people who tally the votes are the ones that open them, not the godddamn postal workers. If you wanted to destroy all the absentee votes for Trump, then you'd have to open every ballot, which would invalidate all of them. Then once they got to the office where they count them up, your branch would immediately come under fire, and you might be arrested.
It's also unlikely that they would have pre-made labels that say "democrat" and "republican", instead of "Clinton" and "Trump", etc., because semantically speaking elections revolve around the individual who is to be elected, not the party that they represent. Just think, there's almost certainly more than one independant candidate for president, so how would they label those ballots? Both the same?
>>709152168
hes referencing the fact that republicans rely on those services a lot more than anyone else. the myth of the unemployed black welfare queens false. its white poor uneducated and unemployed people who use them most, and they tend to vote republican. please learn your facts. also, learn some economics.
>>709151753
quoting for truth
>>709152027
No, it's the basketball-american heavy high population areas that lean democrat and are represented as such in the electoral college. If PA goes blue, that's why. It's the same way a majority of districts of NY represent red but NYC is so highly populated that the entire state goes blue.
Furry faggot retard. Maybe if you weren't so fucking stupid you might recognize democratic policies for being the destructive fever dreams of madmen that they are.
>>709153125
I just don't think they're intelligent, nor worthwhile enough to reach out to (trump supporters). I think the type of person who supports trump is inherently stupid, a lost cause :/
But I admire the fact that you're willing to talk to them like human beings. I shut them out on day 1.
>>709150563
Austin is a literal homeless dumpster party. Nothing remarkable going on there. Let the snowflakes have their shithole while the adults handle the rest of the state
>>709152600
Well lets be fair here. Would you not hit that?
>>709152183
Sure lad
>>709153600
I'd fuck the dogshit out of Ivanka. But fucking a daughter is another animal completely... And I'm 110% sure that Trump has fucked poor Ivanka.
HEY DUMBSHITS. EARLY VOTING HAS TURMP AHEAD IN BASICALLY EVERY STATE.
NOVEMBER 28 WILL B A BLOOD BATH LMAO
>>709153999
One word.
Wincest
according to my studies, there is roughly an 87% chance that Trump fucked his daughter.
>>709154130
I dunno bro, the whole wincest thing makes me super queasy and ill
>>709153942
And pic related is the stance of the same Index today. Brexit sure did a lot of damage.
>>709151753
Bridgegate destoryed christie
>>709153069
I vote absentee and theres no way to view it unless you open up mail which is illegal.
>>709148470
Texas is a red state, always has always will be a red state. OP is trolling.
>>709154315
It's important to note that the UK hasn't left the EU.
You do realize that... The vote was one thing. Actually leaving is going to decimate the UK's economy.
And I guess we have to ask... why haven't they left the EU yet?
I have to admit, I don't hold any ire for stupid people like you. You *impress me*. Good show sir!
>>709154597
Are you stupid, brain damaged, or just willfully ignorant? Maybe all of the above?
>>709154597
it's pink now actually. and will be blue in 2020.
demographics are changing. the age of white conservatives is over.
>>709151451
Latino here. I'm for mass deportations.
America is doomed.
America fears greatness
America is now an Islamic state
America shot on hard working people
America will not be safe under Clinton
America fears TRUMP
>>709148470
i don't believe a blue texas this time, though the numbers are within the margin of error. but in 4 years it definitely will be.
thanks donnie.
now let's end this fucking thing and let him sink back into oblivion.
>>709151753
I'm a fairly liberal democrat but this scares the shit out of me.
>>709150660
oh noes alaska's 3 fucking points don't mean shit.
>>709154948
Tbh everyone's for mass deportations and a wall, even the most fervent liberal.
I'm a diehard Clinton supporter and I want you Mexicans gone. Along with the blacks, and red state whites.
The cool thing is that Obama's deported millions. Clinton will deport even more.
>>709151451
This. Some of us had to wait 10 years for naturalization of citizenship, and our families worked their hands to the bone to send our kids to college and provide food, shelter,etc. Those free loaders are not welcome here!
>>709154783
>It's important to note that the UK hasn't left the EU.
>>709152183
>moreover, look at the damage brexit's done
Pick one
>>709151101
>>709150706
>>709155118
i'm a clinton supporter and i don't give a fuck about the mexicand or muslims. send them all home, give them citizenship, i don't care. bringing in refugees is fine too. i'm not afraid of them.
>>709148470
I see you accidentally erased part of Florida's foreskin when you erased "User Generated Map"
>>709155075
settle down
>>709155225
Then why are you a Clinton supporter? You're pro war? You hate Lockean liberalism?
Why are you people so intent on pushing Clinton when there is nothing about her even remotely appealing?
I'll just leave this here
Liberals BTFO
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/10/leaked-clinton-internal-document-discourage-trump-supporters-bogus-polls-declaring-election/
>>709152531
implying you could defeat my tax funded military you hillbilly fuck
>>709155203
well both. the pound has fallen. also UK's economy took a hit post brexit.
again, the UK hasn't left yet. IF the UK does leave (a big if, as they know it will destroy their economy), then we'll have even more solid evidence to that end.
you alt-right faggots (brexit/trump), just want to destroy shit. so sure, destroy the UK - no fucks given.
but not here. nope. you won't have your chance with trump.
>>709155375
>republicans didn't nominate an adult.
gee i wonder
>>709150817
>Leftist Thinkers are worst thinkers
Guaranteed everyone who disagrees with this tweet is religious and likes to look back on the ancients as if they had all the right answers.
BTW, the founding father's intended voting to be only for individuals who owned land. They had good intentions for the US, but not all of their ideas would be beneficial in a democracy.
>>709155465
>the gateway pundit
>worse than breitbart
aaaaaand you're not blocked (I have 4Chan Plus).
don't bother responding again you Nimble America shill, I'll never be able to see one of your posts - ever again.
>>709155375
because we are heading, plummeting, into a newly defined world and we need someone looking forward to things like advanced manufacturing for example, and not backwards to dumb shit like factory jobs.
and i'm for universal health care. and i'm think the rich should pay more taxes. also she would be a much better face of the USA than trump, or any of the 3rd party ones.
i'm also fine with a bit of socialism. i think we should be able to feed everyone who's hungry and it's a disgrace that we can't or won't.
i think the death tax needs to be preserved too and not done away with like trump wants. it shuold be even higher, maybe 80% above 5 mil. and this may be the most important thing for the future.
i want a more liberal supreme court.
i could go on
>>709155695
>the founding father's intended voting to be only for individuals who owned land
Honestly that idea wouldn't be really proper today, but I don't personally think there's anything wrong with limiting voting rights to people who actually contribute to society.
>>709155861
>limiting voting rights to people who actually contribute to society
So in other words Trump supporters won't be able to vote? Hillary sweeps all 51!
>>709155695
yeah but look at what was going on. women weren't allowed to inherit land. it was simply a way to keep power in the hands of few.
>>709155944
>Nobody on government benefits can vote anymore
>No democrat ever elected again
>>709155861
No individual living in a red state would ever be able to vote again, per those restrictions...
red states have the highest welfare rates (particularly amongst whites).
red states have the highest rates of unemployment (particularly amongst whites).
red states have the highest crime rates (particularly among whites).
look, I'm all for culling the south. I think it would be fantastic to limit voting to people who pay income taxes. the GOP would never win another election again.
>>709156281
trump wouldn't be able to vote either
>>709156194
>literally retarded
>>709155616
That hit lasted about a week and after that the economy did better than it did in years. Not only the stock exchange data I posted that, but also exports are up and unemploynent hit a record low last summer. The pound falling isn't inherently a bad thing, as it makes the UK exports cheaper on the international market.
True, any long term effects of Brexit will depend mostly on what kind of economic legislation the UK will implement. But the post I was replying to said that Brexit did serious damage to the British economy. Which is crazy, because the British economy is doing very good since the referendum.
>>709156445
the pound is almost equal to the euro
that's all that needs to be said.
>>709153397
I drove through southern illinois this week. Went through rich neihborhoods and saw signs for various people. No trump, a few clintons. But when inwent through poor towns, towns with shifty redneck yards with trash everywhere i saw trump signs. If it was a trailer park it was for sure to have trump signs.
Stupid poor lazy government leach living trailer parkers all support trump. I saw one guy in his yard and he was at least 400 pounds and had a giant soda from a gas station.
>>709156543
you straight up fucking retard
do you have any concept of how that works?
pound will return to normal soon enough
>>709156721
yeah well the hit lasted longer than a week since it's still happening jerk off. so stop lying.
>>709156559
I think the biggest lie is that republicans are better on the economy. they are not. MIDDLE OUT ECONOMICS ALL THE WAY
>>709150267
>Oregon Red
I fucking wish
>>709149113
Texas was on the verge of flipping blue for a while now. All the major cities are democrat and they were just barely bested by the republican rural areas.
>>709148470
Trump didn't do this to the GOP. The GOP did it to them selves.
The last few elections I've noticed something when Republicans go through the Primaries.....
The Republican primaries destroy their candidates.
As the US slowly becomes more liberal over time. (accepting gays, not caring if they get married, letting women get abortions, easier rules for immigrants, less racism, limitations on who should have guns)
Republican candidates in order to win the Republican nomination need hit all these things and be VERY right wing to get through the gauntlet of proving who is the MOST right.
Then once they win, they have to pivot hard to pander to the people they need to win over... the middle undecided people ( me for example )
I've liked candidates for the republicans... until they seemingly have to force themselves to be super right during the primaries
The main GOP people almost refuses to move their needle to the middle when it comes to these items. Thus they are losing in the face of general slow progression of the american population towards more liberal ideas.
If they just ticked to the middle a little, they would win by a lot.
>Accept gay marriage in the legal system but say that no matter what they will not be aloud to marry in a church that wont except their union.
>Guns are fine middle loves guns
> Lower taxes on middle class and poor people. raise it on the obscenely rich individuals. BUT lower taxes on corporations so they want to stay in this country.
> Better immigration reform to let people in faster, but harsher penalties for the criminal illegal immigrants in this country. And a path for those in the country who are here illegally ... who have been working and paying taxes to this government in some substantial way for the last 5 years.
> Give up on abortion... just stop, it's over.
> More open to climate change and clean energy. for fuck sake it's basic fucking science. you sound stupid to us middle people when u deny it.
>>709150267
Trump winning NJ? Are you high?
>>709156773
dear fucking christ
sit down and fuck off liberal cuck, you have no idea about how this works
>>709157029
About abortion, the GOP have made it VERY difficult to get abortions in a lot of places. Big fight right now, some states have just 1 place where you can get abortions, they have giant waiting lists, are very expensive, you have to have meetings about the fetus before hand, you have to look at a picture of it, you have to get false information that the doctors are required to say. you have to have a funeral for it.
They are trying to squeeze out abortions and get around roe v wade
republicans disgust me with their tactics, me personally, i believe in having the baby then giving it up, but i dislike how they do political shit.
also, TOO BIG GUBMINT TELLING ME WHAT TO DO. then this shit, its such hypocrisy
>>709157029
the problem is also with the internet, none of this goes away. no one forgets. they keep dredging up shit said during the primaries, video on demand. the system doesn't work this way any more.
>>709157224
no one gives a fuck about your opinion. the facts are pretty obvious. brexit fucked the economy and it hasn't even happened yet.
>>709157535
I bet you're one of the libtards that actually voted to remain in
how does it feel to get shat on each and every day?
I voted to save this country from cunts like you
>>709156543
No. The Pound dropping in value is has positive as well as negative effects for the UK (provided it doesn't keep dropping, which it didn't) and even if it was a negative thing you can't say that the economy is doing badly because of that, as the UK economy significantly improved in other measurements after the referendum. I already mentioned these things in my previous post.
>>709156773
this >>709156721 isn't me. And just look at the stock exchange. After the referendum the stocks plummeted, but one week later they were higher than before. I'd say that the hit is over. Only the pound remained lower than before the referendum, but like I said before, that does not mean that the British economy is in recession.
>>709148470
Hey retard.
If the liberal media was so confident Hillary would win, they wouldnt NEED a thousand articles a day, as many slanted polls as possible, amd to be spending millions a day on desperate ads to trash Trump.
I look forward to you crying like a little bitch when Trump wins in a landslide.
>>709157029
The democrats and republicans faced the same populist revolt for much the same reasons. Washington isn't serving the public interest anymore. It just so happened that the democrat's protest candidate, Bernie Sanders, was in a tougher position and got beat (perhaps robbed). Trump benefited from the fact that he was up against 17 other republicans and the republican elite weren't as organized behind a single slam dunk candidate like the DNC was with Clinton.
>>709157705
>no understanding of macro-economics
thanks for the nonsense response
>>709157853
>no argument
thanks for this nonsense response
>>709157831
THIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIS
>>709155695
>>Restricting voting rights to people from whom funding for the goods and services the government provides will be taken.
>>A bad idea.
>>709155705
>I can't take any different opinions
>Better silence them
You really learned from your Clinton overlord, ain'tcha?
>>709151753
Twist ending: This is what Trump secretly planned.
What if this guy is a Daltonist?
>>709151753
don't forget also bringing into focus every white supremacist in the country. now we can deny them jobs, political offices, etc.
>>709157535
Give me one statistic that shows that the British economy is fucked.
>inb4 predictions or muh pound
I'm talking about the economy as of today, not the future. And a stable, yet somewhat less valueable currency does not mean that the economy is fucked.
>>709157968
?
His argument is that you don't understand the things you're talking about. It's like right there man.
Democrap shills are insecure faggots that choose to believe their own garbage they spew on a daily basis and nothing more.
>>709158507
And how does that disprove any of the things I said?
>>709158596
it's simplified shit. like something someone in high school would be told by their teacher.
>>709158596
If you're uneducated on the topic it stands to reason that your opinion on the matter is babbling. The points you're making might be right, however, anon is attacking your character in order to discredit the statement. It's a shitty fallacy, but still an argument nevertheless. You can either cite your sources to add credibility, or call out the fallacy, but you can't say he has no position.
>>709158895
>>709158912
I meant how does saying I don't understand shit disprove any of my claims? This guy is saying that the UKs economy is 'fucked' but has literally no evidence for it other than muh pound.
>>709159592
I feel like the issue is that neither of you are citing any sources and kind of assume that everyone should just take your word for it.
>>709159814
you can't have sources for an extremely simplified economic position.
>>709149517
538 still doesn't have Clinton winning Texas yet.
>>709149113
Ever consider that this map is a lie created to sway voters?
>>709148470
out I'm force today. ve to try and get in front of that new video rekeasing today huh?
Also friendly reminder guys that they are know actively trying to discourage voter turnout. Don't listen and go vote
>>709160246
yeah it;s not. there was one point where trump was almost tied with clinton.
>>709160118
>U.S Dollar is the most traded worldwide currency
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies
>>709151555
>witnessed
I didn't believe it was real either but I went and looked for it. It is real. And they say it's not cool because the founding fathers had slaves and trump is dehumanizing people of color. It is just mindblowing levels of idiocy I'm honestly speachless.
>>709153069
Nothing is labeled in such a manner. All ballots probably even have a security sleeve so you can't look through the envelope. My state, Washington, only has mail-in ballots (with drop boxes all around) and there is a security sleeve.
>>709159814
Nah, neither of us is disputing the data the other uses, but if you want sources here you go:
FTSE 100
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/prices-and-markets/stocks/indices/summary/summary-indices.html?index=UKX
The Pound
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1Y
Unemployment
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/unemployment-rate
Exports
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/exports
>>709151038
People like this exist on this board and are free to contribute.
>>709160475
How does that disproven the !ap being a lie.
Anyway Texas is not going blue this election.maybe in eight years
>>709148470
daily reminder that Nate Silver gave Trump a 2% at winning the primaries
>>709160791
because if it was just to help clinton, why would it show they were close?
>>709160819
yeah very early on. and then it didn't., and then it said he was winning a few weeks before the election, idiot.
>>709160819
Other daily reminder.ctr has switched from talking up Clinton to trying discourage voter turnout with fake polls and phony declarations of victory
https://mobile.twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/790491911236845568
>>709160118
There we go with the name-calling again. Do you have any proof at all that the UKs economy is doing bad right now?
>>709160819
Nate Silver is just going with the information he has at the time. There is no way to predict the following election:
1 highly religious right-winger (Cruz)
1 Trump (anti-establishment whatever)
16 establishment republicans
If things started as 1-1-1, the establishment republican would have won.
>>709160766
Alright, let's try a different approach.
>The Pound dropping in value is has positive as well as negative effects for the UK
Which are?
>even if it was a negative thing you can't say that the economy is doing badly because of that
How so?
>That hit lasted about a week and after that the economy did better than it did in years.
Citation needed.
>Not only the stock exchange data I posted that, but also exports are up and unemploynent hit a record low last summer
Citation needed
>The pound falling isn't inherently a bad thing, as it makes the UK exports cheaper on the international market.
So it's better for the international market and not UK.
>long term effects of Brexit will depend mostly on what kind of economic legislation the UK will implement
Citation needed
>Which is crazy, because the British economy is doing very good since the referendum
As compared to when?
>>709161206
not to mention clinton helping trump by responding to him, making him look more important than he really was. she waned him to win the primary of course, knowing what they have on him.
>>709161323
That was a bit later one when things were whittled down to about 5 people. But yeah, Trump was the easiest right-winger to run against, just like Bernie was the easier left-winger (which is why no republican mentioned him at all).
Nimble America - from an objective standpoint - is much worse than CTR. The amount of pro-Trump paid-shitposting by Nimble America outweights CTR's by the 10's of millions of posts.
Trump's brand of SJW's are more annoying than any fag, nigger, tranny, feminazi SJW by FAR.
Sadly, many of Trump's monkeys still believe he'll win. OR that the election really is rigged. Many of them will riot when Hillary wins. And many will be shot dead in the streets by Law Enforcement.
God I love this election.
>>709148470
That's more optimistic than necessary.
Trump has no chance of winning Florida at this point and he can't win without it. Campaign over, everyone head home.
>>709160819
>if only Trump had another few months to turn his numbers around again
KEK, too late retard
Let me ask everyone this:
The GOP is effectively anti-science, and anti-intellectualism.
When will they rebrand, to be more inclusive to Hispanics, blacks and women?
They're going to keep losing unless they change.
>>709150563
Don't forget all the California fags moving out here
>>709162049
Republicans have been cheating for decades, and now it's just delaying their necessary adaptation.
If they didn't have shady gerrymandering laws insuring they win House of Representatives and Governor seats, they might actually have to adjust their platform. As of now, they will receive far less votes for Representatives but will still control the House, allowing them to essentially shut down government, which is all they want anyway.
>>709161757
>many will riot
Russia is such a shithole I doubt anyone will notice
>>709161757
The fuck is a trump brand sjw?
>>709162390
x10000
Great answer.
>>709148470
>Democrats winning Ohio
>implying
>Ohio hasn't been wrong about an election since Nixon
>>709162753
Trump's Social Justice Warriors. His (literally) retarded supporters. The big group of his troglodytes whining about 'the establishent', and 'the elite', and 'rigged elections', and 'Bill Clinton's a rapist!', etc.
They whine... the loudest. They cry... the largest tears. They are literally the biggest cuckolds the world's ever seen to date.
>>709162928
Don't be so sure. I'm an Indie, and I just voted for Clinton here in rural Ohio.
It won't matter. Trump has no chance.
>Trump has single handedly done
>what the DNC has tried to do for decades
are you sure one contradicts the other?
I don't give a fuck what any poll says. If it has Texas as blue it's fucking retarded.
>>709161284
>>long term effects of Brexit will depend mostly on what kind of economic legislation the UK will implement
>Citation needed
Not that guy, but of fucking course it will. They'll need to renegotiate a lot of trade agreements and re-draft a lot of economic legislation because a portion of previously made, now-extant stuff operates under the assumption that they're a state that is a part of the E.U., which comes with different assumptions and national relationships and requirements.
Obviously there's a lot that can change in the legislature of all of this when done later compared to when it was done initially, so that landscape is definitely going to look more than a bit different. And many their trade deals will be a lot less cozy now than they were, because they'll be trading to or through EU states.
>>709161789
FiveThirtyEight's models predict it going to Trump, but that's subject to change as it's based on verifiable polling; and while Texas is suddenly considered a late-game battleground state it will take time to have those efforts propagate. As her campaign fights in Texas you can probably expect the percentage to even out there at least a little, but I personally doubt it'll swing so severely.
Also, he could still conceivably get Florida: 538 has his odds at 1 in 4. Chances are he won't, but it's not an absolute confidence sort of thing.
That said, it's more likely that Clinton takes Alaska than Trump taking Florida, and his odds are fucking grim in essentially all of the tipping-point states. Even with the clustering effect 538 observed possibly working in his favor (taking one means predicatively that you'll take other specific states) he basically needs to sweep all of the battlegrounds to lock.
>>709148470
Sadly, I don't think that gonna happen. But just two months more, and he will have destroyed GOP. Shame election day is so close.
>>709163312
Do you really think that Trump's a Clinton agent? That he'd destroy his, and his family's lives, brands, reputations - to destroy the GOP?
Would anyone do that? Is anyone *THAT* patriotic? No. Years pursuing billions - and now he's the ultimate philanthropist? I don't buy it.
And trust me, I've thought about the implication.
>>709162994
Thank you for correcting the record, fourteen cents has been deposited into your account.
>>709163564
Hillary won't win Texas. That's naturally an exaggeration.
But she's going to kick the shit out of Trump in the electoral college.
>>709148470
last time I checked trump had won Texas.
>>709163771
>FiveThirtyEight's models predict it going to Trump
HAHAHAno
CHANCE TO WIN FL:
Clinton:74.5%
Trump: 25.5%
Stop lying and just look at their website
>>709164257
last time I checked voting hadn't yet concluded.
>>709161284
>Which are?
If the pound looses some value it becomes more attractive for foreingers to import stuff from the UK, because they can get more Pounds for their currency, which is positive for the UK economy because it makes exports go up. However, it also becomes more expensive for people and companies from the UK to import stuff from other countries, which is negative for the UK economy, for reasons I'm sure I don't have to tell you, since you are the one saying a weaker Pound is bad for the economy.
>How so?
Because the UK economy is doing well in a lot of aspects, like in the statistics I posted in >>709160766
.
>That hit lasted about a week and after that the economy did better than it did in years.
Better than it did in years is disputable, but the UKs economy seems to be very healthy. For example in the categories I mentioned the UKs economy is doing good compared to recent years. The FTSE 100 was higher last summer than it ever was since the economic crisis in 2008, save for spring 2015, unemployment is at a record low of 4,9%(http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36844302 and http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/unemployment-rate) and export rates are higher than they were last year.
>Not only the stock exchange...
Alright the record happened before the referendum, but unemployment rates are still as low. I posted unemployment and export data here >>709160766.
>So it's better for the international market and not UK.
The extra demand is beneficial for the UK.
>long term effects of Brexit will depend mostly on what kind of economic legislation the UK will implement
With that I mostly meant whether the UK will actually leave the EU or not and if yes, whether the UK will get a free trade deal with the US and/or EU. I will not adress this point further since that is not what I'm disputing.
>Which is crazy, because the British economy is doing very good since the referendum
I think I covered that at the 'better than in years'-part
>>709164452
oh wow you're still campaigning for brexit, even though the UK's still in the EU.... even after the pound dropped significantly after the vote. 300,000 jobs lost so far.
and - this is the important thing to remember - the UK STILL HASN'T LEFT THE EU.
do you understand that? this is like trying to talk to a vegetable.
>>709164452
there is no brexit yet. it's all on expectations and reflects the preparations that rich powerful people are making for it.
>>709164383
I was talking about Texas, numbnuts. That's obvious one sentence in (...Texas is suddenly a battleground state) even say in the post that Trump's Florida odds are only 1/4.
You should get in the habit of reading the entire post before you reply.
>DNC organizes plausibly-deniable voter fraud
>Creamer is a high-level organizer who runs a network of DNC shills who carry out a variety of fraud schemes.
>Even our own brave, honorable Comrade Obama is in on it, as shown by the white house's own logs
VIDEO 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IuJGHuIkzY
VIDEO 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDc8PVCvfKs
NEW PROJECT VERITAS VIDEO3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EEQvsK5w-jY
>>709148470
>>709164942
this guy's videos have all been debunked as fake. why should we trust the new ones? yes, maybe people were put in to trump rallies to cause trouble. who cares. just because we don't know what the RNC is doing, that doesn't mean they aren't doing the same exact thing.
>>709164452
>which is positive for the UK economy because it makes exports go up.
Close.
It makes exports more profitable, because the same doodad that could previously be exported for n pounds can now be exported for 1.2n pounds, which means if it costs 1.1n pounds to make*, it can be exported at a profit of 0.1n instead of a loss of 0.1n.
This is why China is such a competitive exporter: its central bank and government take measures to keep its currency's value low.
* this is not a valid assumption if it's made from stuff that needs to be imported.
So democrat leftist liberal fucks seem to want a 1 party system it looks like
Sure is commie in here
>>709164942
Republicans aren't smart enough to pull something off like that.
Thus they aren't in any position to be The Leader of the Free World.
Even if this rigged shit is true (it's not, look at America's demographics), the simple fact that it was orchestrated shows how potent a force these Democrats are.
Unlike the impotent (in all regards), old, and nearly-retarded white republican evangelicals...
It's over dolan. You and gooby got slaughtered like cucked fags you are.
>>709165223
Yep. You lost your chance. Part of your responsibility for Obama's 8 years was to reach across the table.
Mitch McConnell said from day 1 "We will do whatever we can to obstruct."
And that's why the GOP is finished. Lowest congressional approval rating in US history.
>>709165223
ideally, for me, if the republican party can get rid of its white supremacist nonsense and keep religion out of it, they would be a fine party:
>less government
>less spending (leads to lower taxes for everyone)
and that's it. forget abortion, forget white power, forget fighting gay equality forget propping up one religion over another.
and be pro-science
>>709165223
You can always move to Russia. You'll have your guns there. Why would you stay here (seriously)?
>>709164800
WTF? Learn to write, you illiterate retard.
You don't use "it" before identifying the object, especially if you're responding to a comment about a similar object.
>>709165584
>implying he's not already in Russia
>>709165552
But when has the GOP ever been about small government or fiscal responsibility?
GW Bush grew the size of the US govt by 2000%.
GW Bush spent 16 trillion dollars.
Reagan Spent billions. And again, grew govt.
If there were a real republican who held true to small government, and fiscal responsibility, then sure. But that's a myth.
>inb4 'but Obama...', the DNC has never touted small govt or fiscal responsibility.
>>709156889
Tfw the cuck city of Portland decides the vote for the entire state
>>709165862
ahhhhhh true... true.
I can't wait to punish putin for this fuckery.
maybe another coup engineered by the west, where putin's dragged out into the street and torn apart.
the massive sanctions will cripple Russia massively. so will the cyber retaliation.
>>709152299
muh silent mahgeberry
>>709148470
I salute him for his good work.
>>709164669
>300,000 jobs lost so far
citation needed
>the UK STILL HASN'T LEFT THE EU.
did you even read my posts? I'm not argueing what could happen if the UK formally leaves the EU, I'm argueing whether the vote has had a mesurable negative effect on the economy so far
>>709165070
that's real weird...
i'm normally not in these threads, but i noticed this exact same post yesterday, with this exact same wording...
>>709166252
are you denying that the pound dropped to its lowest point since the 1950s, after the vote?
are you denying the loss of jobs, after the vote?
are you denying that that the London Stock Exchange took a big hit after the vote?
Brexit's already failed, massively. When the UK formally leaves, then the real hardship will begin. That was a foolish decision. And it exposed the UK for who they truly are: Bigoted retards. Akin to the average trump supporter.
>>709152183
From the UK blood, no damage has been done lol.
>>709166460
>are you denying that the pound dropped to its lowest point since the 1950s, after the vote?
No
>are you denying the loss of jobs, after the vote?
Yes
>are you denying that that the London Stock Exchange took a big hit after the vote?
One week after the referendum the London Stock Exchange was already higher than before
>>709166419
That's because it's a CTR shillbot, not a real person.
>>709154197
probably
>>709149113
You can use this to pin point the era when democrats switched from being anti-nigger to pro-nigger.
Reminder the ctr shills are out in force because a damaging video is dropping today
Reminder that it's literally their strategy to try and dishearten trump supporters
https://mobile.twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/790491911236845568
Reminder that all the sudden the name of CTRs head is literally a bannable offense.
I hVe to ask. What is it like to work for a literal racist who employs their world propaganda and silencing tactics on her own people? Does that not even give you a moment's pause in your shitposting? Or are you to far gone to care
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQfZA76CuQs
>>709150267
Where did you find early absentee returns from NC? States don't release those early because it's a clear means of influencing later voters.
Overconfidence will be your downfall. Same thing happened with the Remain campaign for Brexit all because the polls said they were far ahead.
Can't wait for the libcuck tears and chimp outs in 2 weeks.
>>709166708
so you're denying that the London Stock Exchange took a hit, after the vote.
>>709166722
Yeah, I've noticed some really weird shit lately. There's obviously some heavy information manipulation going on around here.
(I'm Japanese, in America temporarily, and don't really care who wins either way, but this is kinda creepy.)
>>709166622
you haven't let yet britbong.
>>709167160
Implying the libtards won't cry foul and demand recount after recount then try to sue over it. Completely ignoring their own hypocrisy from right now. It's what they do
>>709167243
markets act in anticipation of things
sure there might be a group of people expecting the UK to reverse the decision, but it would be political suicide to do so
even if they haven't left yet, they should be seeing pretty heavy effects
macroeconomics 101
>>709161789
>seen almost 300 trump signs
>literally 5 hillary signs and they are all the same family
im smelling some bullshit here
>>709167227
Im saying that that hit was resolved within a very brief time, see >>709154315
>>709167160
check out 1960 and see who won the election and the inevitable race riots a few years later.
Then look at 1860 and see who won the election, then look at when the civil war started.
Democrats love causing race riots and civil wars.
>>709167410
I don't think the market anticipates the UK leaving.
at least not for a few years, anyhow.
>>709167418
To be fir non that just in your area. Then again I just went through Denver not to long ago, and it's a heavily Democrat area but I saw so many more trump signs. Probably due to Hillary attacking legal pot. That's Colorado main tax revenue now
>>709167418
America is more than 300,000,000 people.
The shitty little neighborhood you never leave is not representative, you fucking moron.
>>709167507
That hit was pretty massive. We felt it in the US. In fact every market felt it.
if the UK does leave, it will impact the world economy. massively so in the UK of course. but we'll all feel it.
>>709148470
>A round of applause for this man.
*clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap* *clap*
>>709167418
I've never seen 1 trump sign or sticker. Nor have I ever met a trump supporter. I live in a major city on the west coast.
But again, our multi-million person population isn't representative of the US populace politically. The same applies to whatever red state anus you're in.
Fuckin hell a lot of libfag shills jerkin it in here.
>>709157831
> when Trump wins in a landslide.
>>709157831
Comments like this make me happy. Hillary's win will be all the more amazing.
>>709168646
This.
Those Trumptard tears have been brewing a good long time now. They're gonna be delicious.
>>709152456
the pound is at its weakest in 130 years, having fallen 6% in 2 minutes at one point.
2 trillion wiped off the stock exchange in the first week.
most of the major banks in the city now openly stating their intention to relocate their major offices to Frankfurt.
>>709169668
NYSE will be getting a bunch of the financial business that the London market had, too. Gee tanks, britbongs.
COCKSUCKING SHILLS TRY TO SLIDE THE THREADS AWAY FROM THESE VIDEOS.
SHARE THIS WITH FRIENDS.
DNC IS ILLEGALLY COLLUDING WITH A SUPERPAC
>DNC organizes plausibly-deniable voter fraud
>Creamer is a high-level organizer who runs a network of DNC shills who carry out a variety of fraud schemes.
>Even our own brave, honorable Comrade Obama is in on it, as shown by the white house's own logs
VIDEO 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IuJGHuIkzY
VIDEO 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDc8PVCvfKs
NEW PROJECT VERITAS VIDEO 3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EEQvsK5w-jY
>>709167699
I live in Denver and I don't know any Trump supporters
I already voted for Trump today in early voting. Hope Hillary enjoys prison
709171685...I like the way you talk!
>>709150817
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-constitution_us_5808209fe4b0180a36e8d1b6?section=politics
>>709171509
Then you're not looking very hard
>>709171509
how many people do you know?
>>709173406
idk like 100
