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What are my statistical chances of getting dubs? Math team assemble

The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood.
Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.

Thread replies: 109
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What are my statistical chances of getting dubs? Math team assemble pls
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>>674754130
50%
There's a yes chance you'll get it, and a no chance you'll get it
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Dubs become statistically more likely the higher they are.

For instance, 99 is higher than 55, so you have a higher chance of obtaining them. It reset at 00, however. 00 is nearly impossible to get.
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I dont do math, I just get dubs.
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>>674754130

10%, moron
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There are 100 possibilities from 00 to 99, inclusive. Dubs represent 10 of those (00, 11, 22...).

10/100 = 10% chance of dubs
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>>674754821
the only reasonable answer since it is going to vary wildly with how many people are posting at a given time
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its in accordance with how much you CHECKEM
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>8 posts
>no dubs
checkem
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>>674754385
I see 00 quite often
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dubs don't exist
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Idk but ive got 101% chance
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What are the odds of getting singles in this thread?
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>>674755757
oh shit do we count double digit dubs as dubs? How does this affect probability
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>>674755757
>more than 100%
>5757
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>>674754908
But do trips/quads etc. count as dubs? not factoring that in
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>>674755971
If we're being purist then they can't count because were only dealing with the final two digits.
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Checkem boys I'm a dubs machine 100% nigga
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There are ten dubs between 00 and 99 so it's 1/10
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111% right here
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>>674756484
there are 8 between 00 and 99.
There are 10 between -01 and 100.
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>>674756170
What about dubs in the middle of a post number? Do dubs have to be the final two? if we eliminate all quads/trips too, that will reduce the odds a bit. More complicated than just 10%
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zero point zero
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haha a get thread without gets? lolzzzzz
here check these niggerboys.
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this thread is cursed, no dubs can be gotten in this one
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WHAT TH FUCK
WHY IS THERE NOT A SINGLE DUBS IN THIS THREAD
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Check dubs fags.
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>>674756651
Just say there are 10 between 00 and 99, inclusive
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i get them everytime
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you all new fags!
Watch 4chan premium roll
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yeah
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One would have to determine the rate of posting first. Too lazy
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>>674756758
>Do dubs have to be the final two?
Absolutely. They don't count unless they go back to front.

This excludes the aberrational gets like palindromes or large sections of the post number repeating.
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>>674757155
>>674757177
thank god
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>>674757262
So, still need to factor in all trips/quads/quints. This will reduce the number below 10%, not by much though. Going to be 9.something%
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>>674757155
underr8d premium
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This thread is cursed
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It's either Satanic trips or nothing.
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>>674757604
FUCK YOU
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>>674754821
This assumes constant posting flow. The true value will vary widely but settle somewhere around this at any given time.
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>>674754130
higher than yours nigger
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>>674757562
Not if you're only looking for dubs. You can only get 00-99 before it rolls over. The other numbers are irrelevant because they either do or don't have the last two repeating numbers and qualify as dubs.
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>>674755776
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>>674758556
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>>674758556
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>>674758654
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dubs, grant me a qt 3.15 girlfriend
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Whoa whoa whoa, I don't even want doubles.
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>>674758556
>nearly get trips
>don't
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>>674759110
>>
>>674755971
>>674756170
That's the point, you're only dealing with the final two digits.
The third digit is irrelevant this making it irrelevant if it's a trip or not.
Trips cant just as well simply because they do not affect the last two digits.
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100% chance I get dubs
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>>674755757
This time I'll get normal dubs. Thanks to you all for visiting, like and subscribe to my dubs
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who needs dubs when you can ge trips
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>>674759539
get trips*
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>>674754130
Is OP a fucking retard? Let's think, if it's the last two digits, that's 1/100 to get any one number between 00-99, and if there's one dubs in each factor of ten, it's 10/100, or 1 to 10 / 10 percent / .1
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>>674759439
That was just preparing you for these dubs. Now you are ready
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the RNGods are unhappy
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someone count all the dubs in this thread and divide it on all the posts in this thread. this is the only way to be sure its 10%
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>>674754908
Not a math fag, but I imagine that probability is spread across all the /b/ topics. How would you calculate for a given thread?
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Trips are easier.
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>>674759790

actually there is 2/59 right now which is only 3%
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10.0% ± 11.0%, according to my advanced calculations.
Source: B.Sc. in Computational Women's studies.
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>>674759848
Because your post has the same odds as any other.
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pretty sure dubs have a 70% chance to get since 00 doesnt count and u have to factor in trips and quads (because they are 10 each) and more than quads is too unlikely to use probability with
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>>674755051
It's still 10% you fucking idget. Jesus Christ, for the number of you fucking neckbeards that claim to be geniuses I am shocked at how completely illogical and thick headed you all can be. If 10 people are posting, they all have the same chance of getting dubs as they would have if there were 10,000,000 people posting. Git gud you fucking casual teir faggots.
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>>674754353
Criminally underrated.
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>>674760106

no i missed 2 its 4/59 -> 6%
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>>674760197
This, at least for any fast board.
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>>674760197
>for the number of you fucking neckbeards that claim to be geniuses I am shocked at how completely illogical and thick headed you all can be.
What is the dunning kruger effect?
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>>674760197

the dubs is not a random event. its counting. if yo are all alone on 4chan and posts. you would know 100% if you get dubs or not. so you need a lot of people to post to make it chaotic and "random"
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Her name is Javiela. She cheated on me for a few months before I figured it all out. It hurts like a bitch and it's my time for payback. I am here by today releasing all her videos( bitch loved getting in the ass , jesus that pussy) She is also legal I promise. http://www31.zippyshare.com/v/O4qVcs25/file.html Will be removed in 5 mintues. /b/ OP is not a fag <3 10
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>>674755971
Valid point. Chance of having the last two digits be the same in 000-999 = 100/1000, chance of having the last three digits be the same 000-999 = 10/1000, so technically 90/1000 or 9/100 for true dubs, in the case that you're excluding the eventuality of trips
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>what are the statiscal chances OP is a faggot

Dub threads are only slighty more retarded than you asking about them
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>>674760411
Are you faggots just going to ignore these?
>>674760744
even the bot is blessed. None of you are worthy.
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>>674760692
Yes, but every tenth post you would get dubs, so it's still 10% fucking percent
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it is a 1 in 10 chance to get a single specific number

it is a 1 in 10 chance to get the same number next to it

it is a 1 in 100 chance to get dubs, or 1%.
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>>674761269
no, its 1% chance to get specific dubs, 10% just to get dubs
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>>674761019
>Fast board - Every tenth post is dubs
>Slow board - Every tenth post is dubs
We're ignoring them because they don't requiring answering, the answer will ALWAYS be ten percent, regardless of how fast or how "random" it is, the probability that you are that tenth poster is equivalent to the likelihood of your post being dubs. Simple math guys, I would have expected you all to be better at this.
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>>674761269
You've graduated in moronism, haven't you?
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>>674754908
There are only 9 possibilities you idiot. 11 = 1, 22=2.... 99 =10???? I don't think so
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checko recko
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>>674761658
Yeah, because 00 never happens. Idiot.
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>>674761484
But we're talking about your chance to GET dubs. Not the frequency of the occurrence. On a slow board with one post every hour, and you go on, and the last post was XXXXX98, and it was posted only moments ago, then you know with 100% certainty that if you post now you will get XXXXX99.

[s4s] does it all the time.
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>>674761658
You forgot about 00.
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>>674761907
He didn't.
>>674761900
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Fuckin check'em
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>>674760561
Exactly, I realize that I'm "smart" but still understand that there are people a million times smarter than I am, that's why I'm not getting payed to send shit through an atom smasher, but everyone on this fucking board who says that they have a "tested IQ of 160" or some bullshit is sitting in their mom's basement eating hot pockets and whacking off to Japanese cartoon 8 year-olds
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>>674761658
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If i get dubs ill chop my dock
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o problen
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>>674761860
I mean sure if you're the sole poster on a board, you will get 100% of the dubs, but only 10% of your posts will be dubs. That's what I think the majority of the logical thinkers in this thread are trying to tell people. Although I do get what you're saying, if you post a lot you get more dubs, but you and someone who post only a small amount will get a proportionately equivalent number of dubs.
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Dubs?
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wait because the numbers arent random as in they are based off of how many posts have already been made wouldn't that mean there is no chance about it? unless the numbers are just going really quickly then its 1% chance i think
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>>674762176

what have you done to prove to yourself that you are "smart" tho, because that's the basis assumption to most people. (im a bit over average smart they think, yet most people aren't)

checklist
- im doing advanced mathematics graduate level at university (or other natural science coruse)
- i earned a 100k dollars before i was 30 or close
- i have all A's (europe) and honor level coruse, letters of req. and all that (usa)
im part of some 1% upper IQ community. (this is weak indicator tho)
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>>674762299
>>674761900
>>674760744
>>674760411
>>674757177
>>674757155
These are the only people worth listening to in this thread tbh
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Check'em
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>>674762804
>The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood.
>Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.
My dad works for nintendo.
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>>674762594

we are not talking about total. we are talking about the probability P(post and get dubs)

not posting many times.
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>>674763003

i mean the checklist is for the guy thinking he is smart. its not my achievements. i'm not making any claims. if you dont [check] at least one of those , you are not smart
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>>674762773
You are a special kind of stupid.
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>>674761900
Sure, I get that point, if that's the only post you post on that board, you will get dubs 100% of the time, but that's usually not the case so still, 10% of your posts will be dubs, and there in lies your answer. Also, check out >>674760782, this might be the best answer for the statistic point.
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>>674754385
Check my 00 dubs, fag
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10% chance; you didn't mention over a period of time or amount of people posting. However I am not a fedora faggot whom tries to act smart, therefore not studying advanced maths or pointless science shit (physics, astrophysics, social science).
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if dubs this is the worst dubs thread ever
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>>674763034
ALRIGHT LOOKS LIKE SOMEONE NEEDS A LESSON IN PROB AND STAT.
>One case of some guy on /something/ posting with no one else around
>>Yup that must be the answer for all of this, because that's definitely what a "statistic" is
Just like we're not talking about multiple posts, we're not talking about one ver unlikely case, so in reality, you're answer is still going to be just about 10%
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>>674762804
Bruh I said I'm smart, not a fucking genius. I have ADHD so I realized from a young age that I was never going to be successful, but still got pretty much straight A's on anything we did in the classroom, never had to study, but because fucking American education system there's something called homework and I ended up getting pretty mediocre grades. My billionaire grandpa died when I was 17 so I decided I'd get a shit ton of degrees on his dime, and maybe seek out some kind of way to evaluate my ADHD to work on fixing it. Turns out (psychologist said I should take one to isolate my working memory capabilities, math skills, etc.) I test in at 138 on the IQ scale. I don't actually work so I can't say I've made any money and pretty much bought my way into college, so I don't know what to tell you man.
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>>674764176
tell that to my dubs
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